skip to main content
US FlagAn official website of the United States government
dot gov icon
Official websites use .gov
A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States.
https lock icon
Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock ( lock ) or https:// means you've safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites.


Search for: All records

Creators/Authors contains: "Amrhein, D_E"

Note: When clicking on a Digital Object Identifier (DOI) number, you will be taken to an external site maintained by the publisher. Some full text articles may not yet be available without a charge during the embargo (administrative interval).
What is a DOI Number?

Some links on this page may take you to non-federal websites. Their policies may differ from this site.

  1. Abstract Biased, incomplete numerical models are often used for forecasting states of complex dynamical systems by mapping an estimate of a “true” initial state into model phase space, making a forecast, and then mapping back to the “true” space. While advances have been made to reduce errors associated with model initialization and model forecasts, we lack a general framework for discovering optimal mappings between “true” dynamical systems and model phase spaces. Here, we propose using a data‐driven approach to infer these maps. Our approach consistently reduces errors in the Lorenz‐96 system with an imperfect model constructed to produce significant model errors compared to a reference configuration. Optimal pre‐ and post‐processing transforms leverage “shocks” and “drifts” in the imperfect model to make more skillful forecasts of the reference system. The implemented machine learning architecture using neural networks constructed with a custom analog‐adjoint layer makes the approach generalizable across applications. 
    more » « less